Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009751 0.011623 0.013914 0.016974 0.021041 0.026388 0.034180
2025-06-01 0.007127 0.009177 0.011985 0.016274 0.022988 0.033759 0.054031
2025-06-08 0.006021 0.008170 0.011354 0.016728 0.026319 0.044640 0.089154
2025-06-15 0.005159 0.007256 0.010541 0.016504 0.028285 0.054338 0.135044
2025-06-22 0.004403 0.006342 0.009496 0.015516 0.028325 0.060048 0.181310
2025-06-29 0.003995 0.005902 0.009127 0.015636 0.030698 0.073480 0.291446
2025-07-06 0.003735 0.005656 0.009037 0.016260 0.034546 0.095354 0.552876
2025-07-13 0.003588 0.005573 0.009218 0.017503 0.040735 0.134633 1.440986
2025-07-20 0.003389 0.005371 0.009129 0.018108 0.045556 0.178401 4.253972
2025-07-27 0.003168 0.005097 0.008850 0.018175 0.048775 0.222687 15.840119
2025-08-03 0.002982 0.004866 0.008620 0.018309 0.052427 0.283023 211.224091
2025-08-10 0.002763 0.004550 0.008164 0.017724 0.053008 0.322971 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002511 0.004165 0.007555 0.016706 0.051865 0.352856 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002308 0.003862 0.007092 0.016025 0.052030 0.407430 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002203 0.003741 0.007018 0.016470 0.058022 0.603562 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002070 0.003548 0.006751 0.016250 0.060591 0.787527 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001909 0.003285 0.006285 0.015284 0.058331 0.836714 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001823 0.003169 0.006157 0.015401 0.062786 1.222919 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001770 0.003115 0.006171 0.016012 0.071355 2.275817 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001745 0.003122 0.006336 0.017229 0.086615 6.775601 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001695 0.003065 0.006332 0.017820 0.098419 21.874724 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001627 0.002966 0.006202 0.017886 0.105826 77.895192 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001568 0.002879 0.006095 0.018017 0.114662 1065.760696 NaN